By MBAKS Senior Policy Analyst Allison Butcher

The Office of Financial Management’s (OFM) annual population projections have been released, showing strong continued growth in Washington. The 2020 estimates indicate Washington’s population grew to more than 7.6 million people as of April 1. The Puget Sound region’s population, including King, Snohomish, Pierce, and Kitsap counties, grew by more than 60,800. According to OFM, most of the population change occurred before the COVID-19 crisis.

The Builder's Bulletin is intended to provide a convenient way to track housing in our market and includes information from the Northwest Multiple Listing Service, State of the Cities Data Systems, Office of Financial Management, and the Washington State Employment Security Department.

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Homing in on Our Region's Housing Statistics

Severe shortages of housing inventory for sale continued in December, with only 0.27 months’ supply (about one week) in King County and 0.20 months’ supply (less than a week) in Snohomish County. This represents a decline from the previous month and year-over-year. The snow and cold temperatures also impacted home sales in December, according to the Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

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Months' Supply of Housing Inventory

As of December 2021

	King County had 0.27 months' supply of inventory (down from 0.63 months' of inventory a year ago).
	Snohomish County had 0.20 months' supply of inventory (down from 0.26 a year ago).

Many industry analysts consider a four-to-six-month level as an indicator of a healthy market.

Source: Northwest Multiple Listing Service

Median Home Price

December 2021

	The median price of single-family homes and condos was $749,000 in King County and $679,950 in Snohomish County.
	For single-family homes only, the median price in King County rose 9.46%, from $740,000 a year ago to $810,000. The median price in Snohomish County rose 22.06%, from $573,495 to $700,000.
	In Seattle, the median price of single-family homes and condos was $762,475. The median price for single-family homes only was $839,000, a 4.88% increase from $799,950 in December 2020.

Source: Northwest Multiple Listing Service

Building Permit Activity

Jobs

	The seasonally adjusted Washington unemployment rate for December 2021 is 4.5%; for Seattle/Bellevue/Everett, it is 4.1%.
	Construction employment in Washington increased by 1,300 between November 2021 and December 2021. Total construction employment is 231,400 statewide and 109,200 for Seattle/Bellevue/Everett specifically.

Source: Employment Security Department: WA Employment Estimates (Seasonally Adjusted), December 2021 and Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Population

The Puget Sound region's population as of April 1, 2021 was 4,330,400. Over the past year, the region added 66,200 people, as follows:

Source: Office of Financial Management

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Builder Confidence Dips as Industry Gauges Market Conditions

Builder confidence continues to falter, with the national Housing Market Index (HMI) falling to 32, a 29% drop year over year. Confidence in the Western U.S. remains especially low, with an HMI of just 22. The HMI, based on a monthly NAHB survey, reflects how builders view current and future conditions in the single-family housing market.

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