Reports Highlight Flaws in Mandatory Affordable Housing Fees

by MBAKS Government Affairs

Two new reports from ECOnorthwest shed light on key shortcomings in inclusionary zoning policies and the nexus studies often used to justify mandatory affordable housing requirements on new market-rate development.

MBAKS commissioned ECOnorthwest, an independent third-party public policy research firm, to prepare these reports in support of more informed local dialogue around affordable housing strategies.

The first report, Mandatory Affordable Housing Fees Carry Unintended Consequences, examines the real-world impacts of imposing affordable housing fees without corresponding incentives. It finds that mandatory affordable housing fees, though well-intentioned, disproportionately affect middle housing projects, often tipping them from risky to infeasible and preventing them from being built altogether. 

The second, How Nexus Studies Misunderstand the Affordable Housing Challenge, highlights a core flaw in the logic underpinning many nexus studies: the assumption that new market-rate housing is the primary driver of demand for affordable housing. The report describes several issues with this assumption, arguing that the framework used to justify mandatory inclusionary requirements misrepresents the true dynamics of housing markets. It does so by ignoring the broader supply shortage and the filtering process through which new housing helps ease pressure on lower-cost homes. By attributing the affordability crisis to new development rather than to structural undersupply, nexus studies risk reinforcing policies that further constrain housing production—ultimately exacerbating the very problem they aim to solve.

The ECOnorthwest reports reinforce the need to continue advancing solutions that increase supply at all levels. MBAKS is committed to being a collaborative partner in addressing the region’s housing shortage so our communities can be more affordable and inclusive for all.

Homing in on Our Region's Housing Statistics

By MBAKS Senior Policy Analyst Allison Butcher

The Seattle metropolitan area saw a significant increase in multifamily permit activity in 2021 compared to the previous year, led by King and Pierce counties—up 71% and 31% respectively. More than 22,000 multifamily permits were issued in the three-county metro area last year, surpassing pre-pandemic levels of fewer than 19,000 multifamily homes in 2018 and 2019. Single family permits were also up 24% in Pierce County year-over-year. Meanwhile, Snohomish County had a modest decrease in permits last year compared to 2020. King County ended the year down 8% for single family permits.

Please contact data@mbaks.com with questions or feedback. We want to know what data would be useful to you!

Months' Supply of Housing Inventory

As of January 2022

	King County had 0.49 months' supply of inventory (down from 0.92 months' of inventory a year ago).
	Snohomish County had 0.33 months' supply of inventory (down from 0.41 a year ago).

Many industry analysts consider a four-to-six-month level as an indicator of a healthy market.

Source: Northwest Multiple Listing Service

Median Home Price

January 2022

	The median price of single-family homes and condos was $720,000 in King County and $686,792 in Snohomish County.
	For single-family homes only, the median price in King County rose 6.90%, from $725,000 a year ago to $775,000. The median price in Snohomish County rose 19.17%, from $599,990 to $715,000.
	In Seattle, the median price of single-family homes and condos was $729,000. The median price for single-family homes only was $790,000, a 0.19% decrease from $791,471 in January 2021.

Source: Northwest Multiple Listing Service

Building Permit Activity

Jobs

	The seasonally adjusted Washington unemployment rate for January 2022 is 4.4%; for Seattle/Bellevue/Everett, it is 3.5%.
	Construction employment in Washington increased by 500 between December 2021 and January 2022. Total construction employment is 228,100 statewide and 101,900 for Seattle/Bellevue/Everett specifically.

Source: Employment Security Department: WA Employment Estimates (Seasonally Adjusted), January 2022 and Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Population

The Puget Sound region's population as of April 1, 2021 was 4,330,400. Over the past year, the region added 66,200 people, as follows:

Source: Office of Financial Management

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The City of Bellevue has launched an update to the Bellevue Map Viewer - its interactive map platform. Members of the community can access more development and construction information, including building permits for new and altered single family and multifamily projects, right of ways, fire, utilities, and land use actions.

To explore the permit data layer, access Bellevue Map Viewer on the main Maps and GIS page, select the "Permits" layer and ZOOM in.

Please contact rbc@mbaks.com with any questions.